Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 07/07/2025 Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates are visiting the Kansas City Royals on Monday, July 7^th at the Kauffman Stadium in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. We will examine:
The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance
The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent betting trends in games played between the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals game

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 43-48 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 20-24 home record and are 35-55 in over/under. They are coming off 4-0 road victory over the Dbacks, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games and are playing the Mets and the Marlins next.

The Royals have a .243 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .365 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 105 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 55, adding a team-high 14 home runs.

Noah Cameron (L) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 2-4 record, 2.56 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 38-53 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL Central. They have a 12-32 road record, and are 36-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-1 road defeat by the Mariners, and have three consecutive losses. Under is 6-0 in their last 6 games and are playing the Twins and the White Sox next.

The Pirates have a .231 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .341 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 76 hits, and a team-high 45 RBI. Andrew McCutchen is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average.

Andrew Heaney (L) will take the mound for the Pirates, and he has a 4-7 record, 4.16 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The home team has won each of the Pirates’ last 11 games.
The Pirates have lost each of their last five road games.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a win.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
The Royals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.
The Royals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Royals have lost each of their last 11 games as home favorites.
The Pirates have won seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites.
The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home night games.
The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Royals’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven night games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (304).
The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (217).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (61).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Pirates are 4-2 in their last 6 overall meetings against the Royals, and have won their last three visits in Kansas City. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, the Royals are coming as -155 home favorites. The Royals are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and are facing a Pirates team that has been terrible on the road. The Royals have the pitching advantage, as Cameron is looking great so far, and Heaney has been terrible on the road for the Pirates with a 5.79 road ERA. The Royals also have the 6^th-best bullpen in the league, and are better than the Pirates against lefties. Take the Royals to win this one at home.