Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at the Comerica Park in the second game of this series, with the Tigers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 77-53 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 43-24 home record and are 67-55 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-5 home victory over the Royals, and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Royals and the Athletics next.

The Tigers have a .250 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .423 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 127 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 94, and in home runs, with 30. Zach McKinstry the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average.

Chris Paddack (R) is the projected starter for the Tigers, and he has a 4-11 record, 5.10 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 66-63 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 30-33 road record and are 56-72 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-7 road defeat by the Tigers, and are 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Tigers and the White Sox next.

The Royals have a .246 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 147 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 89, and a team-high 27 home runs.

Michael Wacha (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has an 8-9 record, 3.34 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won each of their last seven night games against the Royals following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Royals following a win.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Royals.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last seven Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Tigers’ last 11 home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank T29th in the league for steals this season (57).
• The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (30).
• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (886).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (339).

Royals vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings against the Reds, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Detroit. Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Royals vs Tigers Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -125 home favorites. The Royals have the pitching advantage in this matchup, as Wacha has been much better than Paddack, and he is also coming into this matchup in very good form, having won his last five starts with a 2.35 ERA in that span and his previous start against the Tigers was a shutout in 7 innings. On the flip side, Paddack was torched in his previous start, having given up 8 runs in 5.2 innings pitched against the Twins. The Royals have been playing much better lately, and I expect them to bounce back in this one, so take the Kansas City Royals as road dogs for plus money.