Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 07/26/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26^th at the Kauffman Stadium in the second game of this double header. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 50-53 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 24-26 home record and are 41-61 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-4 road victory over the Cubs, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Braves next.

The Royals have a .245 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 116 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Salvador Perez leads the team in RBI, with 62, adding a team-high 18 home runs.

Kris Bubic (L) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has an 8-6 record, 2.38 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians have a 51-51 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL Central. The Guardians have a 26-26 road record and are 47-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 home defeat by the Orioles, which ended their previous four-game winning streak. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games and are playing the Rockies and the Twins next.

The Guardians have a .224 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 110 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average. He also leads the team both in RBI, with 56 and in home runs with 21.

Tanner Bibee (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 6-9 record, 4.27 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The favorites have won each of the Royals’ last seven games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last 12 day games against the Guardians following a road win.
• The Guardians have won each of their last eight day games against the Royals following a home loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Saturday games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday day games as favorites.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday day games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Royals’ last nine day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Guardians’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Guardians and Royals.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games at Kauffman Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (241).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (363).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (746).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.224).

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Guardiansare 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Royals, and are 4-2 in their six meetings this season. They are 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Kansas City, and Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, the Royals are coming as -130 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and similar home/away splits. Bubic will take the mound for the Royals and despite his recent struggles, he has been excellent this season. Bibee on the other hand has been weaker on the road, and with the Guardians struggling to hit lefties, there is value to the home team as long as Bubic is on the mound. Take the Kansas City Royals on the moneyline in the first 5 innings of this game.