Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

The Kansas City Royals and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Royals vs Braves pick. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Braves

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Braves game

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

This week the Royals played the Washington Nationals. KC took a sweep in that matchup 1-0, 3-0 and 7-4. On Friday versus Atlanta, Kansas City lost in a shutout 3-0.

Seth Lugo will start for the Royals on Saturday. This year Lugo is 16-9 with a 3.03 ERA in 32 starts. Over 333 career games (96 starts) Lugo is 56-40 with a 3.38 ERA.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they only managed to play one game versus the New York Mets this week, a 5-1 win. The other two will be made up Monday. On Friday the Braves posted just four team hits in the victory.

As starter Saturday Atlanta is sending out Reynaldo Lopez. So far Lopez is 8-5 with a 2.03 ERA in 24 starts.

Total Runs Facts

• Thirteen of the Braves’ last 14 home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Murphy has recorded two or more RBIs in four of his last five appearances against the Royals.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in six of the Braves’ last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Royals.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against AL opponents at Truist Park.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
• Maikel Garcia has scored a run in four of the Royals’ last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Royals’ last nine road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in five of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I might try KC here. Lugo has one bad start and two pretty good ones in his last three outings. In the bad one Lugo notched four earned in 4.2 innings versus the Tigers. In the two good starts Lugo posted a combined 14.0 innings and two earned runs, going 1-1 in the pair.

On Friday the Royals got a pretty nice pitching effort overall but the offense couldn’t rise to the occasion. Michael Massey had two of the team’s three hits and there were only two walks in the game. I like KC to come back better Saturday but they’ve got to get the bats going.