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Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks
Pick details
Houston (53-35) vs Los Angeles (56-33)
July 5, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 53-35 on the year and play the Guardians and Rangers next. The Houston Astros are batting .261 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .409 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Houston Astros with 102 hits and 40 RBI, while Jake Meyers and Jose Altuve have combined for 176 hits and 65 RBI.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 9-4 with a 2.72 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. Valdez is 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-33 on the year and play the Brewers and Giants next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .261 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and a .457 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 96 hits and 56 RBI while Andy Pages and Freddie Freeman have combined for 182 hits and 105 RBI.
Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. Ohtani is 3-6 with a 4.01 ERA and 88 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 day games against AL West opponents following a loss.
The Astros have lost each of their last four road games against the Dodgers following a win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against the Astros at Dodger Stadium.
The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Astros will win
The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
The Astros have covered the run line each of their last four games at Dodger Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Astros have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
Will Smith has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five home games against the Astros.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 32 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against the Astros.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in each of his last six road appearances against the Dodgers.
Jake Meyers has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL West opponents.
Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
Jake Meyers ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers haven’t lost two straight games since June 6-7, so there’s reason to back them in this spot. However, Ohtani is still on a pitch count, so you can’t go into this game confident in the pitching situation. The Astros are probably the hottest team in baseball and Valdez has been ridiculous with a 2.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Valdez has allowed 25 hits and six runs in his last 31 innings. The Astros have won 10 straight games Valdez has pitched. Valdez is allowing a .217 batting average in 50 road innings. Give me the Astros to keep things rolling given the more stable pitcher.