Aug 11, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA;  Detroit Tigers first base Spencer Torkelson (20) hits a home run during the ninth inning against the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images
Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction 8/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers
Team Records 59-62 59-61
Spread -1.5 143 +1.5 -174
Moneyline -123 +102
Total Over 8.5 (-102) Under 8.5 (-118)
Where Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
When Thursday, August 13, 2026
Time 01:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 13th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 59-62 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 4-6 and 6-4. In game two, Cleveland took the lead in the fifth inning and added two more runs in the seventh to seal the win. The Guardians recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Adell, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Griffin allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Mets. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 483 runs with a .233 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 13 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 12 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Parker Messick, who is 9-6 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 59-61 this year after they lost game two by a score of 4-6 on Wednesday night. Detroit led 3-2 in the third inning, but scored just one run in the last six innings for the loss. The Tigers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Valdez allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while De Jesus allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit won two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Mariners. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 549 runs with a .243 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 26 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 8-7 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Tigers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 18 of their last 20 games as favorites following a win.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won each of their last seven games at Comerica Park following a win.
  • The Tigers have lost 12 of their last 13 games against the Guardians following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Guardians’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last five games as home underdogs.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Guardians’ last 10 games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Dillon Dingler has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three games as underdogs.
  • Keider Montero has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games against AL opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Parker Messick has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Angel Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction 

Cleveland snapped their losing streak with a nice win on Wednesday night and they will go for the series win here. The Guardians are 31-31 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 31-28 at home. Detroit has won three of their last four games, but they have allowed 10 runs in the last two games. The Tigers are starting Montero, who has allowed 5, 0, 4, 1, and 0 earned runs in his last five outings, while Messick has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5

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