Jun 2, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte hits a sacrifice fly to drive in a run in the fifth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction 6/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Los Angeles Dodgers Arizona Diamondbacks
Team Records 40-22 32-29
Spread -1.5 114 +1.5 -137
Moneyline -137 +114
Total Over 9 (-107) Under 9 (-112)
Where Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
When Thursday, June 4, 2026
Time 09:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 4th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 40-22 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 1-4, 6-5, and 7-0. In game three, Los Angeles scored five runs in the first three innings and cruised to the lopsided win. The Dodgers recorded 16 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Freeman, who went 2-6 with two RBIs. Ohtani allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hernandez threw two scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Los Angeles won two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Rockies. 

This season, Los Angeles has a 3.08 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while they have scored 328 runs with a .265 batting average and a .345 on base percentage. Andy Pages has led the Dodgers with 13 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Freddie Freeman has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Justin Wrobleski, who is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 32-29 this season after they lost game three by a score of 7-0 last night. Arizona struggled to get runners on base and they never had a chance in the loss. The Diamondbacks recorded two hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Moreno, who went 1-4 in the game. Gallen allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Pfaadt allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Arizona lost all three against the Mariners, but did win all three against the Giants before that. 

This season, Arizona has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 273 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Ildemaro Vargas has led the Diamondbacks with seven home runs and 37 RBIs, while Ketel Marte has added 10 home runs and 36 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 2-4 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 65.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have lost three of their last four night games at Chase Field following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against the Diamondbacks following a win.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost 10 of their last 12 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Dodgers’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in four of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Dodgers.
  • Ryne Nelson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances at Chase Field.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Thursday appearances with the Dodgers as favorites.
  • Andy Pages ranks T8th in the league in Hits (68) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (458).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (53).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.345).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.08).

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction 

Los Angeles comes into this matchup looking to secure the series win and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last four games. The Dodgers are 20-11 on the road this year, while the Diamondbacks are 19-12 at home. Arizona has lost four of their last five games and they have scored one or fewer in three of those games. The Diamondbacks are starting Nelson, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Wrobleski has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last four. Neither starter has been great recently, so I will take a shot on the Diamondbacks and the plus money.

David Racey's Pick: Diamondbacks ML

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