Jun 9, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte (4) reacts from first base after hitting a two-run single against the Miami Marlins during the eighth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction 6/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Arizona Diamondbacks Miami Marlins
Team Records 34-32 32-35
Spread -1.5 149 +1.5 -181
Moneyline -108 -112
Total Over 8 (-112) Under 8 (-108)
Where loanDepot park, Miami, Florida
When Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Time 06:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 10th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 34-32 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-10 on Tuesday night. Arizona erased a 6-2 deficit in the later innings, but they allowed four runs in the eighth for the loss. The Diamondbacks recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Marte, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Gallen allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Garcia allowed four earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Arizona lost two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Dodgers. 

This season, Arizona has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 289 runs with a .241 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Ildemaro Vargas has led the Diamondbacks with seven home runs and 37 RBIs, while Ketel Marte has added 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 2-4 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 32-35 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-6 last night. Miami led 6-2 in the sixth inning, but their bullpen blew the lead, before they scored four runs in the eighth to get the win. The Marlins recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Edwards, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Meyer allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Faucher blew the save and Fairbanks got the win. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Rays and swept the Nationals in three games. 

This season, Miami has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 286 runs with a .245 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added five home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight road games against the Marlins.
  • The Marlins have lost three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 home games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Marlins’ last nine home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 night games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against National League opponents.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami was able to start this series with a win on Tuesday and they have won three games in a row. The Marlins are 21-16 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 13-18 on the road. Arizona has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 30 runs in those three losses. The Diamondbacks are starting Nelson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three outings, while Gusto will operate as an opener, but he has allowed six earned runs in his last 4.0 innings. Take Arizona to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Diamondbacks ML

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