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Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 07/09/2025 Picks
Pick details
Tampa Bay (49-43) vs Detroit (59-34)
July 9, 2025 at 05:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -145 — Over/Under: +8
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Detroit Tigers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Zack Littell for the start here and Littell is 7-7 with a 3.50 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. In his career, Littell is 1-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Tigers. Reese Olson will get the start for the Tigers and is 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. In his career, Olson is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts against Detroit.
Tampa Bay Rays Recap
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Tigers on Tuesday to drop to 49-43 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head to Fenway Park for a division series against the Boston Red Sox.
Rays Drop 7 Of Their Last 9
Jonathan Aranda has 94 hits with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 48 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 86 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 85 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 21 home runs and 57 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 99 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers and 52 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers and 22 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 85 strikeouts and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 31 stolen bases while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
The Rays have won nine of their last 10 day games following a loss.
The Tigers have lost each of their last seven Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games following a road loss.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Rays following a win.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four Wednesday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rays from Tuesday to sit at 59-34 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.
Tigers Win 5 In A Row
Spencer Torkelson has 73 hits along with a .235 batting average including a team-high 20 home runs, 20 doubles and 56 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs while Riley Greene has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 22 home runs and 72 RBIs but also has a team-high 118 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 12 doubles, 8 triples, 7 home runs and 27 RBIs of his own along with 78 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 72 hits and 13 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 39 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Tigers have won each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
The Rays have lost each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 10 Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Parker Meadows has recorded a hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Colt Keith has recorded a Double in seven of the Tigers’ last eight Wednesday games.
Riley Greene ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (22) this season.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Tigers’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Twelve of the Rays’ last 15 road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction
I’m on the Tigers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Rays in a spot like this but the thing here is that the Tigers just keep one finding ways to deliver in spots like these and keep finding ways to win games while the Rays just can’t catch a break and at a certain point I think it just boils down to riding the hot hand until the tickets stop cashing which is what I’m doing here, backing the Tigers.