Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 07/07/2025 Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Detroit Tigers meet Monday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Shane Baz will get the start for the Rays and is 8-3 with a 4.33 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. This will be Baz’s second career start against the Tigers. The Detroit Tigers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 7-5 win over the Minnesota Twins last time out to sit at 49-41 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox.

Rays Drop 5 Of Last 7 Despite Sunday’s Win

Jonathan Aranda has 93 hits with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 47 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 86 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 85 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 21 home runs and 57 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 98 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers and 52 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers and 22 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 85 strikeouts and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 31 stolen bases while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

The Rays have won each of their last nine Monday road games against AL Central opponents.
The Tigers have lost each of their last four night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
The Rays have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Rays following a win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over Cleveland last time out to sit at 57-34 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Seattle Mariners at home.

Tigers Looking To Add On To Sweep

Spencer Torkelson has 72 hits along with a .235 batting average including a team-high 20 home runs, 19 doubles and 56 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs while Riley Greene has 98 hits with 21 doubles, 22 home runs and 71 RBIs but also has a team-high 116 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 12 doubles, 8 triples, 6 home runs and 26 RBIs of his own along with 77 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 71 hits and 13 doubles as well as 9 home runs and 37 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

The Tigers have won 12 of their last 13 home games against AL East opponents.
The Rays have lost each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last six games.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents at Comerica Park.
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Gleyber Torres ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Rays’ last six games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I just wasn’t a big fan of how the Rays looked in that series against the Twins and while the Tigers had the benefit of playing the Cleveland Guardians this past weekend, I don’t think it’s going to prove to be that much of a test with the Rays coming to town. Tampa Bay has done a good job of winning Baz’s starts, but Baz also allowed 5 runs against these same Tigers a couple of weeks ago, and I think the Tigers can get to him again here. Give me Detroit in this one.