Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 07/21/2025 Picks

The Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 60-40 on the year and play the Blue Jays, Diamondbacks, and Phillies next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .250 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .419 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 106 hits and 79 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Zach McKinstry have combined for 170 hits and 77 RBI. 

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 5-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 10-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 100 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 39-61 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Giants, and Rockies next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .229 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .339 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 84 hits and 46 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 160 hits and 64 RBI.

Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 4-8 with a 2.01 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. Skenes is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last nine games at PNC Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Tigers have lost six of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Tigers and Pirates.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
The underdogs have won each of the Pirates’ last four games at PNC Park.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Monday night games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Pirates as favorites against the Tigers.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games at PNC Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four home games against AL opponents.
Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Jack Flaherty has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Javier Baez has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as road underdogs.
Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
Colt Keith has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four road games against NL opponents.
Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

It’s hard to make a case for the Pirates after seeing them just get swept by the White Sox, but here we are. Skenes is still one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 2.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, and he has a 2.31 ERA and .189 allowed batting average in 50.2 home innings. Flaherty has a 4.65 ERA on the season, and through 40 road innings, he has a 6.08 ERA and .271 allowed batting average. The Pirates need to find some offense, and if they can get swept by a horrible franchise, anything could happen here. Still, I’ll take a shot with the Pirates at home with the best young arm in baseball on the bump.