The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack for the start here and Paddack is 3-6 with a 4.64 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paddack is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Detroit. Tarik Skubal will get the start for Detroit here and Skubal is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Twins, Skubal is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from their 10-5 loss at the hands of the Tigers last time out to sit at 40-43 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for an interleague series against Miami.

Twins Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Byron Buxton has 68 hits along with 10 doubles, a team-high 17 home runs and 48 RBIs with 13 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 67 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 56 hits with 12 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 7 home runs and 27 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 73 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 76 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 73 hits with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
The Twins have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Tigers following a road loss.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a win.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last five games as road underdogs.
Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
Byron Buxton ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their win over the Twins from Saturday’s game to sit at 52-32 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will travel to the nation’s capital for a series against the Washington Nationals in interleague play.

Tigers Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Spencer Torkelson has 61 hits along with a .224 batting average including a team-high 17 home runs, 17 doubles and 50 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 14 home runs and 29 RBIs while Riley Greene has 91 hits with 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 61 RBIs but also has a team-high 102 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 11 doubles, 8 triples, 4 home runs and 24 RBIs of his own along with 67 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 67 hits and 12 doubles as well as 9 home runs and 36 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

The Twins have lost six of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have won 11 of their last 13 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Tigers following a road loss.
The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Twins.
Tarik Skubal has recorded 11+ strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Twins.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Tarik Skubal ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Twins’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I know this is a hefty price to pay, but this is the perils of being the best team in the AL with the reigning Cy Young champ against a Twins team that got right back to old habits. I just think this is a spot where the Tigers play strong behind their ace and Skubal has another shutdown start. Give me Detroit.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Detroit -1.5