Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Framber Valdez for the start here and Valdez is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. In his career, Valdez is 3-1 with a 3.08 ERA and 26 strikeouts against the Red Sox. Garrett Crochet will start for Boston here and is 2-2 with a 7.58 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Crochet is 0-1 with a 0.90 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Boston.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over Boston from Saturday to sit at 11-10 this season. After this series, Detroit will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tigers Win 7 Of Last 8

Entering Saturday, Colt Keith has 19 hits with 7 doubles and 5 RBIs while Kevin McGonigle’s added 22 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 8 RBIs this season. Riley Greene has chipped in 18 hits with 6 doubles, a home run and 12 RBIs and Dillon Dingler’s added 15 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 3 home runs and 10 RBIs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Tigers on Saturday to sit at 8-12 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will renew their rivalry series against the New York Yankees.

Red Sox Split Last 8 Games

Going into Saturday, Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 22 hits including 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 10 RBIs while Trevor Story has 16 hits with 4 doubles, 2 homers and 17 RBIs and Marcelo Mayer’s added 9 hits with 3 doubles, a home run and 3 RBIs as well. Roman Anthony has 16 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, a home run and 3 RBIs so far this season while Jarren Duran has 11 hits with 3 doubles, a home run and 10 RBIs as well this season. Willson Contreras has added 17 hits with 2 doubles, 3 homers and 11 RBIs of his own on the year.

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: April 19, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Garrett Crochet      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 7.58
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Tigers: 0-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last nine road games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games against the Tigers following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Tigers following a home loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Tigers at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 day games at Fenway Park against AL Central opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 3.75
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 3-1

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday day games against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Willson Contreras ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.425) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three day games.
• Framber Valdez has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (12).
• The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for strikeouts this season (155).
• The Tigers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (12).
• The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (7).

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m leaning towards Boston here. I get the case to be made for either side here and Valdez is still a solid option for the Tigers in this game. However, he did struggle in his lone road start this season and Boston still has a decent lineup against left-handed pitching and in the end I think that the Red Sox get some revenge here. Give me Boston.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Boston -125