Jun 4, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA; Colorado Rockies starting pitcher Kyle Freeland (21) delivers a pitch against the Miami Marlins during the first inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 07/08/2025 Picks

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Colorado (21-70) vs Boston (47-45)

July 8, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston -1.5 — Over/Under: +9

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 8, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies (21-70, 11-34 Away) lost five consecutive series to the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros, and Chicago White Sox. They opened this road series against the Red Sox with a 9-3 defeat on Monday. Austin Gomber took the loss after allowing five runs (four earned) on seven hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 4.2 innings.

This year, the Rockies average 3.56 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .231/.292/.381 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.54 ERA (30th) and 1.56 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .277 batting average, 16 home runs, and 50 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Kyle Freeland, who is 1-9 in 16 starts this season, with a 5.49 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 83.2 innings.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (47-45, 26-20 Home) won back-to-back series against the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals, sweeping the Nats in three games on the road. Boston is now on a four-game winning streak after defeating the Rockies 9-3 in Game 1 of the current series at Fenway Park. Roman Anthony and Abraham Toro led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Richard Fitts got the first win of his MLB career after allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits with six strikeouts and one walk across 5.2 innings of work.

This season, the Red Sox average 4.97 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .255/.325/.430 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.94 ERA (16th) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with a .249 batting average, 14 home runs, and 53 RBI this season.

Brayan Bello will take the mound for the Red Sox on Tuesday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 4-3 record in 13 starts this year with a 3.42 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 76.1 innings.

Why the Rockies will cover

The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a loss.
The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rockies’ last six road games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last nine home games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (843).
The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.54).
The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (599).

Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox won six of the previous ten head-to-head encounters, and although they had an easy job in Game 1, I don’t think that will be the case on Tuesday. Kyle Freeland has improved recently and registered four quality starts of the last five. Boston is batting well against southpaws, which was evident last night against Austin Gomber, but it seems like Freeland overcame his struggles from the early season, so he could be in line for another QS here. Brayan Bello, on the other hand, emerged as one of the best Red Sox pitchers this season; only Garrett Crochet has better numbers out of the starters. Bell did allow multiple runs in four of his previous six starts, which is an opportunity for the Rox to get to him early on. Boston will likely get another W here, but the Rockies will stay close. Back the visitors to cover the run line.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Rockies +1.5

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