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Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 07/06/2025 Picks
Pick details
Detroit (56-34) vs Cleveland (40-47)
July 6, 2025 at 01:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland +175 — Over/Under: +7.5
The Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will send out Tarik Skubal for the start here and Skubal is 10-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Guardians, Skubal is 3-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 36 strikeouts. Gavin Williams will get the start for the Guardians here and is 5-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 82
strikeouts this season. In his career, Williams is 1-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 26 strikeouts against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 1-0 win over the Guardians from Saturday’s matchup to climb to 56-34 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tigers Win Back-To-Back Games
Spencer Torkelson has 70 hits along with a .234 batting average including a team-high 19 home runs, 19 doubles and 55 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs while Riley Greene has 97 hits with 21 doubles, 21 home runs and 69 RBIs but also has a team-high 112 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 12 doubles, 8 triples, 6 home runs and 26 RBIs of his own along with 76 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 69 hits and 13 doubles as well as 9 home runs and 37 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Guardians have lost each of their last nine games.
The Tigers have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against the Guardians following a win.
The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against the Guardians following a win.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites.
Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Tarik Skubal ranks T1st in the league for Wins (10) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Tigers on Saturday to drop to 40-47 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a series against the Astros.
Guardians Drop 9 Straight
Steven Kwan has 96 hits as part of a .296 batting average and 6 home runs, 19 doubles and 26 RBIs. Kyle Manzardo has 55 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 33 RBIs as well this year. Gabriel Arias has 17 doubles but also 88 strikeouts and Manzardo has 71 strikeouts so far this season. Arias has also added 6 home runs and 31 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has chipped in 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. Carlos Santana has also added 68 hits with 10 home runs and 38 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
The Tigers have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
The Guardians have won six of their last seven day games against the Tigers at Progressive Field following a home loss.
The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a road win.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
Carlos Santana has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Jose Ramirez ranks T6th in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Guardians’ last five home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m on the Tigers here. I get that it’s a hefty price, but the Guardians are lifeless offensively, and the Tigers have their ace on the mound here with Skubal in Cy Young form once again. The Guardians couldn’t break through against Casey Mize on Saturday and now face Skubal as one of the worst teams in baseball against lefties this season. I’ll roll with Detroit to get another win behind their ace.