Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 46-42 on the year and play the Marlins and Rockies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 94 hits and 60 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 166 hits and 68 RBI. 

Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 5-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Lodolo is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-37 on the year and play the Giants and Padres next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .257 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .405 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 106 hits and 39 RBI while Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos have combined for 184 hits and 88 RBI.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against the Reds at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
The Reds have lost four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games as underdogs against the Phillies following a win.
The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The underdogs have won four of the Reds’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Reds.
Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Nick Lodolo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances.

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies should be favored at home with Suarez on the mound, as he has a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, and he’s allowed six earned runs in his last 41.2 innings. However, the Phillies have been shaky over the last few weeks, and they’ve lost three of Suarez’s last six starts due to zero run support. The Reds have played their best ball over the last month and Lodolo has a 2.31 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 46.2 road innings. I’ll take a stab with the Reds on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds