Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction 07/20/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 20, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds (52-47, 24-25 Away) split a series with the Miami Marlins and defeated the Colorado Rockies to conclude the first half of the season. It’s going to be a successful start to the second half after back-to-back wins against the Mets in the current series. In last night’s 5-2 victory, Jake Fraley led the offense with two RBI, while Nick Martinez got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with five strikeouts and two walks across 5.0 innings of work.

This year, the Reds average 4.58 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .246/.318/.400 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Reds’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (17th) and 1.23 WHIP (10th). Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with a .280 batting average, 18 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Reds is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-1 in 19 starts this season, with a 2.07 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 111.0 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (55-44, 33-16 Home) won three of the previous four series. Following a loss to the Baltimore Orioles, the Mets bounced back with a series win over the Kansas City Royals. They will lose this one against the Reds, though, after defeats in Game 1 and Game 2. In Saturday’s 5-2 defeat, Clay Holmes took the loss after allowing five runs (four earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 5.1 innings.

This season, the Mets average 4.39 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .243/.322/.414 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.60 ERA (4th) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .276 batting average, 21 home runs, and 77 RBI this season.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Sunday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 6-4 record in 18 starts this year with a 3.06 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 109.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Reds’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last three day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (357).
The Reds rank 8th in the league for hits allowed this season (775).
The Reds rank 10th in the league for runs scored this season (454).

Reds vs Mets Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. While I think the Mets are closer to getting a W and avoiding getting swept, I am staying away from betting on the winner. However, I am pretty sure we will have a tight affair with no more than eight runs. Andrew Abbott kept the opponents to below two runs in five of his previous six starts. Abbott is one of the best pitchers in the AL this season, and deservedly played in the All-Star game. David Peterson, another All-Star pitcher, hasn’t closed the last month on a high level, but opened this one with two quality starts, allowing two runs in two starts. These southpaws have been fantastic this season, and are the biggest reason I am going with Under.