Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 13th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 93-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 52-25 home record and are coming off a 13-9 home win against the Reds. They will face the Pirates and the Orioles next.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a .260 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 92, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 25 home runs.

Robert Gasser (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 4-5 record, 4.43 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 69-79 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 33-41 away record and are coming off a 9-13 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Dodgers and the Cubs next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 107, adding a team-high 31 home runs.

Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 15-3 record, 2.73 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 4.43
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Reds: 0-1

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have lost each of their last five games.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Reds and Brewers.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at American Family Field.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns      Record this season: 15-3      ERA: 2.73
• Road Record: 7-2
• Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last four day games against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against the Reds following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Reds following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games at American Family Field following a loss.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Reds and Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last nine games between the Reds and Brewers.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Robert Gasser has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against the Reds.
• Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Juan Brito has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
• Chase Burns has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 road appearances.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 26 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
• Chase Burns ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1317).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1133).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.230).

Reds vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

In this Reds vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Brewers have been dominating the Reds in this series, having won both games with a combined 33-9 score, but they are huge -200 favorites when they have a clear pitching disadvantage. Burns is the far better option than Gasser and the Reds won his previous start against the Brewers this season. Take the Reds by +1.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +1.5