Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, April 9th in the fourth game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 7-5 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 6-3 home record and are coming off a 7-4 home win against the Reds. Their previous three games were a 3-6 and a 0-2 home loss against the Reds, and a 7-6 road win against the Yankees.

The Marlins have a .262 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .400 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 13, also adding a team-high 3 home runs.

Max Meyer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-0 record, 4.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 8-4 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 5-1 away record and are coming off a 4-7 road loss against the Marlins. Their previous three games were a 6-3 and a 2-0 road win against the Marlins, and a 2-1 road win against the Rangers.

The Reds have a .209 batting average this season, .290 OBP and .328 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .366 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI with 8, and Elly De La Cruz adds a team-high 3 home runs.

Rhett Lowder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.64 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: April 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 4.66
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Reds: 1-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Reds following a home win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.64
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: –

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last eight day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight day games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (18) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• Sal Stewart ranks T4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.683) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (16).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (38).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (35).

Reds vs Marlins Prediction

The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Marlins and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Miami.

In this Reds vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -130 home favorites. The Reds saw their five-game winning streak getting snapped but they now have Rhett Lowder on the mound who has just two earned runs in two starts this season. The Reds also have the league’s 5th-best bullen to come after him and allow just 3.3 runs per game off their opponents this season, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Reds on the moneyline for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML