Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction 07/07/2025 Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will start Janson Junk here and Junk is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against the Reds. Brady Singer will get the start for the Reds here and is 7-6 with a 4.36 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. In his career, Singer is 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-1 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 40-48 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Marlins Trying To Find Some Consistency

Xavier Edwards has 82 hits including 9 doubles and a team-high 15 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 76 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 68 hits with 9 doubles and 9 home runs with 44 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 80 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs but also has 93 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 13 home runs, 15 doubles and 37 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 29 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a road loss.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last 13 games.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four night games.
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from a 3-1 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to sit at 46-44 on the year. After this series, the Reds will take on the Colorado Rockies at home.

Reds Drop Back-To-Back Series

Elly De La Cruz has 96 hits with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 15 doubles and 22 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 92 hits with 14 doubles, 8 home runs and 31 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 68 hits with 16 doubles and 37 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 10 home runs and 37 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 9 homers, 31 RBIs and 12 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Marlins have lost each of their last 23 Monday road games.
The Reds have won seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a loss.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Brady Singer has recorded a win in five of his six previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two home games against the Marlins.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Reds’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I just think that these are two teams that are on the level right now and I don’t think there’s enough of an edge for the Reds to make them this sizeable of a favorite here. Brady Singer is a decent option, but Janson Junk’s been able to hold his own and I’d make a strong argument that the Marlins are just playing the better baseball right now. I think in the end, Miami finds a way to draw first blood here so give me the Fish in this one.