Jul 1, 2025; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox left fielder Jarren Duran (16) slides past Cincinnati Reds second baseman Matt McLain (9) for a double during the first inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images

Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 07/02/2025 Picks

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Cincinnati (44-41) vs Boston (42-44)

July 2, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

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The Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 44-41 on the year and play the Phillies, Marlins, and Rockies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 91 hits and 57 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 160 hits and 64 RBI. 
Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 5-8 with a 4.12 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Martinez is 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 42-44 on the year and play the Nationals, Rockies, and Rays next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .250 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .421 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 90 hits and 39 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 145 hits and 79 RBI.

Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 3-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Bello is 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have lost 10 of their last 12 day games against AL East opponents.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Reds have won each of their last four games against AL East opponents following a loss.
The Red Sox have lost each of their last three day games against National League opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents following a loss.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his 16 previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Jose Trevino has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Red Sox.
Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances.

Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Martinez is heading in the wrong direction, which includes allowing 29 hits and 18 runs in his last 29.1 innings. In 46.2 road innings, Martinez has a 4.82 ERA and .291 allowed batting average. I’m not confident in what I’m seeing from Martinez. Bello is showing why he was a highly touted player a couple of years ago, as he’s allowed just 10 earned runs in his last 31.1 innings. With a 3.41 ERA on the season, this is some of the best we’ve seen from Bello. We have two pitchers heading in opposite directions. Give me the Red Sox.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Red Sox

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