Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction 8/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Chicago White Sox and the Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago White Sox will send out Anthony Kay for the start here and Kay is 9-6 with a 4.09 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. The Houston Astros will send out Peter Lambert for the start here and Lambert is 8-7 with a 3.66 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-1 loss at the hands of the Twins last time out to sit at 72-64 this season. After this series, the White Sox will head home for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

White Sox Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Munetaka Murakami has 79 hits with 29 home runs and 58 RBIs while Miguel Vargas has 123 hits with 30 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 76 RBIs and Colson Montgomery has 102 hits with 20 doubles, 28 home runs and 76 RBIs. Luisangel Acuna has 46 hits and Tristan Peters has 103 hits with 27 doubles and 52 RBIs so far this season. Chase Meidroth also has 131 hits with 26 doubles, 12 home runs and 50 RBIs this year.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to build on their 6-3 win over the New York Mets last time out to sit at 69-68 this season. After this series, the Astros will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a series at home.

Astros Win 4 Of Last 6

Yordan Alvarez has 154 hits with 28 doubles, 37 home runs and 93 RBIs while Christian Walker has 112 hits with 25 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 106 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 121 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 73 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 91 hits with 15 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs.

The Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: August 31, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Peter Lambert      Record this season: 8-7      ERA: 3.66
• Home Record: 5-5
• Last 5 against White Sox: 1-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The White Sox have lost each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have covered the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The White Sox have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Anthony Kay      Record this season: 9-6      ERA: 4.09
• Road Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-0

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The White Sox have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• The Astros have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Astros have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the White Sox’s last eight night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the White Sox and Astros at Daikin Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the White Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Peter Lambert’s last four appearances as a starter.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Peter Lambert has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Peter Lambert has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL opponents.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 12 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.317) this season.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Tristan Peters has hit a home run in four of the White Sox’s last five night games.
• Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (41).
• The Astros rank T28th in the league for walks allowed this season (559).
• The White Sox rank 6th in the league for runs scored this season (652).
• The White Sox rank 6th in the league for home runs this season (180).

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. You have two teams that have been solid offensively, but two teams that also have questionable starting pitching in this game and I think this is a game that sees plenty of runs. Give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 8.5