Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 10th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 18-21 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL West. They have a 8-9 home record and are coming off a 6-0 win at home against the Cubs. They will face the Diamondbacks and the Astros next.

The Rangers have a .233 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .370 Slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Josh Jung is the team’s best hitter with a .319 batting average. Jake Burger leads the team in RBI with 21, and Corey Seager adds a team‑high 7 home runs.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 2-2 record, 3.11 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 27-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 9-8 away record and are coming off a 0-6 loss on the road against the Rangers. They will face the Braves and the White Sox next.

The Cubs have a .255 batting average this season, .351 OBP and .423 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 28. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 9 home runs.

Jameson Taillon (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 2-1 record, 4.24 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 3.11
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Cubs: 0-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The home team has won eight of the Cubs’ last nine games.
• The Cubs have lost three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 4.24
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Rangers: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Cubs have won 10 of their last 11 games.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Jameson Taillon’s last six road appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Jacob deGrom’s last eight appearances as a starter against the Cubs.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cubs.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 13 day games.
• Josh Jung ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.319) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against the Rangers.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games against the Rangers.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T9th in the league in Steals (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (146).
• The Rangers rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (139).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.351).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (191).

Cubs vs Rangers Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Texas.

In this Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -130 home favorites. Both teams have split wins in this series but today Jacob deGrom takes the mound for the Rangers and is going up against Jameson Taillon, so there is a clear pitching advantage towards the home team. deGrom is coming off his worst start of the season and a bounce-back is imminent, as he has been much stronger at home, while Taillon has been bad on the road and getting torched by the Rangers bats historically. Take the Rangers to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Texas Rangers ML