Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs (41-26, 21-15 Away) beat the Washington Nationals and lost to the Detroit Tigers on their current road trip. They fell short to the Phillies in Game 1 of this series, but bounced back with an 8-4 victory on Tuesday. Ian Happ led the offense with three RBI, while Colin Rea pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and no walks. Caleb Thielbar was credited with the win. 

This season, the Cubs average 5.58 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .258/.330/.445 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cubs’ staff has a 3.65 ERA (9th) and 1.24 WHIP (15th). Seiya Suzuki leads the Cubs with a .266 batting average, 16 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.

Ben Brown will take the mound for the Cubs on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 3-4 record in 11 starts this year with a 5.37 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 65.1 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (38-29, 20-13 Home) are going through their worst period of the season after losing ten of the previous 12 games. The Phillies lost to the Brewers and Blue Jays, and were swept by the Pirates before this series against the Cubs. Philadelphia opened it with a 4-3 extra-innings win, but succumbed to an 8-4 defeat in Game 2. Alec Bohm and Max Kepler led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Mick Abel pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Taijuan Walker took the loss. 

This year, the Phillies average 4.55 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .253/.327/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 4.03 ERA (18th) and 1.31 WHIP (18th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .245 batting average, 20 home runs, and 46 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Jesus Luzardo, who is 5-2 in 13 starts this season, with a 4.46 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 72.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Cubs’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank T6th in the league for steals this season (60).
• The Phillies are one of only six teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (15).
• The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (603).

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten games, including three of the last four. Six of the last ten H2H duels went Over, and I am going with Over as I want to exploit Luzardo’s current struggles. Luzardo allowed 20 runs in his previous two starts, and even though I think he will improve a bit in this game, I believe he will surrender multiple runs early on. Ben Brown, on the other hand, allowed multiple runs in five of his last six starts, and the Phillies shouldn’t have problems to score three or four runs off him. Back the Over. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 8.5