Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 7/27/24

Pick details

Kansas City Royals (56-47) vs Chicago Cubs (49-55)

Game Info: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -111 / Chicago Cubs -106 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 49-56 on the year after playing the Diamondbacks and Brewers. The Chicago Cubs have scored 2 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 straight games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 93 hits and 30 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch have combined for 167 hits and 74 RBI.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 57-47 on the year after playing the White Sox and Diamondbacks. The Kansas City Royals have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Kansas City Royals have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 142 hits and 70 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 198 hits and 137 RBI.

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Pick Matchup

Shota Imanaga gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 8-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. Imanaga has allowed 14 hits and 4 runs in his last 19 innings. Imanaga has a 2.51 ERA and .242 allowed batting average in 46.2 road innings. This will be Imanaga’s first career game against the Kansas City Royals.

Seth Lugo gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 12-4 with a 2.38 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Lugo has allowed 18 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 20 innings. Lugo has a 2.24 ERA and .227 allowed batting average in 64.1 home innings. Lugo is 0-3 with a 5.26 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Kansas City Royals will Beat the Cubs

  • The Royals have won 21 of their last 22 games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have lost nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against AL Central opponents following a loss.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in each of the Royals’ last two games as favorites against the Cubs.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of the Royals’ last 12 games against NL opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals’ last five games as home favorites.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in 10 of the Royals’ last 11 games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 games against NL opponents.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded a Double in four of the Cubs’ last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against AL opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ian Happ has scored at least one run in five of the Cubs’ last six road games against AL Central opponents.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
  • Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
  • Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his 15 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I considered the Cubs and the cheap price because of how dominant Shota Imanaga has been this season, and you’re not going to get him at these prices often this season. However, the Cubs aren’t scoring runs this week and while Imanaga has been great, Seth Lugo hasn’t been too far off, and you can actually argue he’s been even sharper. Should be a fabulous pitching matchup, but I’ll gladly side with the Royals in game 2 against the Cubs.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Kansas City Royals -111

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