Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, May 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 30-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 14-6 home record and are coming off a 4-1 win at home against the Cubs. They will face the Red Sox and the Marlins next.

The Braves have a .272 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .453 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 37, also adding a team‑high 14 home runs.

Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 6-2 record, 2.20 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 27-16 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 9-11 away record and are coming off a 1-4 loss on the road against the Braves. They will face the White Sox and the Brewers next.

The Cubs have a .246 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 29. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 9 home runs.

Ben Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 1-1 record, 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: May 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 6-2      ERA: 2.20
• Home Record: 4-0
• Last 5 against Cubs: 3-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The home team has won 11 of the Cubs’ last 12 games.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ben Brown      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 1.82
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Braves have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites following a home win.
• The underdogs have won three of the Braves’ last four games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 14 home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last nine games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Chris Sale ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (6) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of his two previous road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T10th in the league in Steals (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (237).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (402).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (201).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).

Cubs vs Braves Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Their last 7 meetings have all gone under the total.

In this Cubs vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -165 home favorites. The Braves have won both games in this series with a combined 9-3 score and now have Chris Sale on the mound, who has been elite this season and unhittable at home, with a 4-0 record and 0.75 ERA. They also have both the best offense and the best bullpen and the Cubs are going for a bullpen game, so this one is straightforward. Lay the juice and take the Braves on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Atlanta Braves ML