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Brewers vs Mets Prediction 07/02/2025 Picks
Pick details
Milwaukee (47-37) vs New York (48-37)
July 2, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York — Over/Under:
In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 2nd at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 48-37 this year after they lost all three against Pittsburgh by scores of 1-9, 2-9, and 1-12. In their game three loss, New York cut the deficit to 6-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the blowout loss. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torrens, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Montas, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while three relievers also allowed two earned runs each.
Prior to that series, the Mets split four games with the Braves and lost two out of three against the Phillies. New York has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 368 runs with a .245 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 20 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is Clay Holmes, who is 8-4 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-37 this season after they won two out of three against Colorado by scores of 10-6, 5-0, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Milwaukee led 2-0 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t hold the lead and ended up losing in the 11th. The Brewers recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Frelick and Yelich, who both had one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Patrick, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Megill blew the save and Anderson picked up the loss.
Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Twins. Milwaukee has won eight of their last ten games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 397 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 13 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee in game one is Freddy Peralta, who is 8-4 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 93.0 innings pitched this season. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched.
Why the Mets will beat the Brewers
The home team has won each of the Mets’ last five games.
The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games at Citi Field following a loss.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
Why the Brewers will beat the Mets
The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Mets have lost six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Five of the Mets’ last six games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Brewers’ last three night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Brewers’ last 11 night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine home games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Christian Yelich has hit a home run in six of his last 12 appearances at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 14 games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mets rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
The Mets rank 6th in the league for walks this season (294).
The Brewers rank 23rd in the league for doubles this season (121).
The Brewers rank 23rd in the league for walks allowed this season (291).
Brewers vs Mets Prediction
New York stumbles into this series after a very embarrassing effort against the Pirates over the weekend, but they will look to bounce back at home here. The Brewers are 20-20 on the road this year, while the Mets are 29-12 at home. In game one, I think the Mets have the advantage, as they will come out strong and show some pride after their horrible series in Pittsburgh. In game two, we have to back Misiorowski, as he has been lights out.