Jun 20, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA;  Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) congratulates third baseman Austin Riley, right, on his solo home run in the eighth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

Braves vs Mets Prediction 06/25/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (37-41) vs New York (46-34)

June 25, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 25th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 37-41 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 3-2 and 7-4. In their game two win, Atlanta trailed 3-0 in the middle innings, but they scored seven runs in a row to pull away for the win. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed two hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while De Los Santos allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did sweep the Mets in three games before that. Atlanta has won six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 329 runs with a .245 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Didier Fuentes, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 46-34 this year after they lost game two by a score of 7-4 on Tuesday night. New York led 3-0 in the fourth inning, but they went scoreless over the next four innings, which resulted in the loss. The Mets recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Baty, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. New York started Montas, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Castillo picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Braves. New York has lost 10 of their last 11 games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 353 runs with a .243 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 16 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 83.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Braves
The Mets have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Braves have lost six of their last seven road games following a road win.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a win.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 night games.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road night games.

Total Runs Facts
Four of the Braves’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Mets’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 night games.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road underdogs.

Braves vs Mets Prediction 
Atlanta comes into this matchup looking to continue their recent dominance over the Mets, as they continue to make up ground in the NL East standings. The Braves are 15-26 on the road this year, while the Mets are 27-12 at home. New York saw their bullpen fall apart on Tuesday night for another tough loss, but they will turn to Holmes, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Atlanta will counter with Fuentes, who allowed four earned runs and six hits over 5.0 innings in his first outing. I trust Holmes to have a solid start and I like the Mets to get a win. 

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML

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