Jun 19, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) hits a double against the New York Mets in the eighth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Braves vs Marlins Prediction 06/21/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (34-40) vs Miami (30-44)

June 21, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +135 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 21st at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
 
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 34-40 this season after they lost game one by a score of 6-2 on Friday night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next two runs in the game to seal the loss. The Braves recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Riley and Olson, who both had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Fuentes, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bummer allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves swept the Mets in three games and won two out of three against the Rockies. Atlanta has won six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 309 runs with a .245 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 3-6 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 30-44 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-2 on Friday. Miami scored the first four runs in the game and they were able to cruise to the easy victory. The Marlins recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Pina allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost three out of four against the Phillies, but did sweep the Nationals before that. Miami has lost three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 301 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Braves will beat the Marlins
The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight home games following a home win.
The Braves have won five of their last six games against the Marlins following a loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts
Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Braves’ last three games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games as road favorites.

Braves vs Marlins Prediction 
Miami was able to bounce back after a tough series against Philadelphia with a nice win on Friday night and their pitching staff has shown some slight improvement. The Marlins are 16-23 at home this year, while the Braves are 12-25 on the road. Atlanta has been the much better team over the last two weeks and they are starting Holmes, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Miami is going with Perez, who has allowed five earned runs and eight hits over 7.0 innings in two starts. We haven’t seen Perez give much length this year and I think that is going to be an issue for this Marlins bullpen. Take the Braves here. 

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML

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