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Braves vs Brewers Prediction 6/9/25 MLB Picks

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Milwaukee Brewers (35-31) vs Atlanta Braves (27-37)

June 9, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers +142 / Atlanta Braves -174 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 9th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 27-37 this year after they lost all three games against San Francisco by scores of 4-5, 2-3, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Atlanta led 3-1 in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Braves recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Olson, who went 1-4 with three RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Montero, De Los Santos, and Dodd finished the game. 

Prior to that series, the Braves lost all three games against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Red Sox. Atlanta has lost seven games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 259 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 13 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 3-4 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 35-31 this season after they lost two out of three against San Diego by scores of 0-2, 4-3, and 0-1. In their game three loss, Milwaukee allowed one run in the seventh inning, which was enough for the loss, as their offense didn’t do anything at the plate. The Brewers recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Contreras, Frelick, and Hoskins, who all had one hit and one walk in the game. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Zastryzny was charged with the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Reds and all three against the Phillies. Milwaukee has won 10 of its last 13 games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 292 runs with a .238 batting average and a .316 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 10 home runs and 37 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Aaron Civale, who is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Brewers 

  • The Braves have won eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Brewers at American Family Field following a loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Braves’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games at American Family Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Civale has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as underdogs.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
  • Aaron Civale has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games at American Family Field.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two games as favorites against the Brewers.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Braves’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Brewers.
  • Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Austin Riley has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.362).
  • The Brewers rank T25th in the league for doubles this season (89).
  • The Braves rank T23rd in the league for doubles this season (90).
  • The Braves rank T21st in the league for runs scored this season (259).

Braves vs Brewers Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup as a pretty big favorite to get the win, but they have played very poorly over the last two weeks. The Braves are just 10-23 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 19-12 at home. Milwaukee has been red hot over the last 13 games, but they did drop two out of three over the weekend. The Brewers are starting Civale, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight games. The Braves are going with Sale, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. I don’t like taking the Braves, but I feel like we have to with Sale on the mound. Take Atlanta -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Braves -1.5

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