Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Sunday, April 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 5-9 on the year and play the Tigers and Twins next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .226 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and have a .341 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 20 hits and 9 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 25 hits and 13 RBI.
Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s second career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 8-6 on the year and play the Guardians and Astros next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .224 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .352 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals pitching staff has a 4.82 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 16 hits and 13 RBI while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 24 hits and 15 RBI.
Andre Pallante gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Pallante is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have won 13 of their last 14 Sunday day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday road games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Cardinals’ last seven home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 20 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
- Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances against the Red Sox at Busch Stadium.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’m not excited to get behind Bello with the way he’s looked through 8 innings but we have to remember it’s just 8 innings. Bello is a talented young pitcher who will find his way. The Red Sox are simply the better team overall and they’re starting to show signs of righting the ship after a slow start to the season. I’m going to ignore this pitching matchup and take the road team and the cheap price. The Red Sox are having a strong week and should finish it against the lesser Cardinals.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Red Sox
