Jul 7, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA;  Athletics pitcher Jacob Lopez Jacob Lopez (57) pitches in the sixth inning against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 7/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Boston Red Sox Oakland Athletics
Team Records 55-51 42-57
Spread -1.5 100 +1.5 -120
Moneyline -156 +129
Total Over 10.5 (-112) Under 10.5 (-107)
Where Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, California
When Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Time 09:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 29th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 45-62 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 21-31 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Red Sox. They will face the Reds and the Tigers next.

The Athletics have a .245 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 5.32 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Shea Langeliers is the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average. Nick Kurtz leads the team in RBI with 69, while Shea Langeliers adds a team-high 23 home runs.

Jacob Lopez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 5-4 record, 6.12 ERA and 1.67 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 55-51 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 30-22 away record and are coming off a 3-4 road loss against the Athletics. They will face the White Sox and the Dodgers next.

The Boston Red Sox have a .244 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 66, and adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Patrick Sandoval (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox, and he has a 0-0 record, 3.21 ERA and 1.64 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Betting Trends: July 29, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Lopez      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 6.12
  • Home Record: 0-3
  • Last 5 against Red Sox: –

Why the Athletics will win

  • The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Red Sox’s last four games at Sutter Health Park.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Athletics.
  • The Athletics have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Athletics have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Red Sox.
  • The Athletics have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents.
  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Sandoval      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 3.21
  • Road Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Athletics: 2-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Athletics have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 road games.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games at Sutter Health Park following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in 12 of their last 15 games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 16 night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the last 10 games between the Red Sox and Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites against the Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Athletics’ last nine home games against AL East opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road favorites against AL West opponents.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit a home run in three of the Athletics’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Lopez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Jacob Lopez has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Donnie Walton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Nick Kurtz ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Patrick Sandoval has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
  • Connor Wong has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (165).
  • The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (165).
  • The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (398).
  • The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (398).

Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the A’s have won two of their last three home meetings against the Red Sox.

In this Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -150 road favorites. I like the Red Sox in a bounce-back spot in this one with Patrick Sandoval on the mound, who is coming off a shutout start and will go up against a struggling Jacob Lopez with his 6.12 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Lopez has been terrible at home with a 0-3 record and 7.62 ERA and the Red Sox have every advantage on the board, as they have been excellent against lefties in their last 10 games, averaging 6.3 runs per game and the A’s have the worst bullpen in baseball. Take the Red Sox in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Boston Red Sox ML

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