Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 8/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 73-60 on the year and play the Mariners and Orioles next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .250 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and have a .405 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 145 hits and 66 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 243 hits and 147 RBI.

Patrick Sandoval gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-2 with a 4.54 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Sandoval is 2-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 75-58 this year and play the Angels and Padres next. The New York Yankees are batting .231 on the season, with a .310 OBP and a .408 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 120 hits and 83 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 198 hits and 112 RBI.

Cam Schlittler gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 11-6 with a 2.16 ERA and 193 strikeouts this season. Schlittler is 1-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 11 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last nine Friday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Spencer Jones has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last five night games.
• Ben Rice ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as road underdogs.
• Patrick Sandoval has recorded seven strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against AL opponents.
• Ceddanne Rafaela ranks T9th in the league in Hits (145) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (496).
• The Yankees rank 28th in the league for hits this season (1013).
• The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.47).

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

Sandoval has been awful this month, allowing 28 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 20.2 innings. Sandoval hasn’t been good on the road, where he has a 5.59 ERA and a .342 allowed batting average. Schlittler has been one of the best arms in baseball this season, and he’s allowed 17 hits and 7 runs in his last 21.1 innings. We’re getting a reasonable price with the home team and one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. As good as the Red Sox have been, Sandoval just doesn’t move the needle here. Give me the Yanks.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Yankees