Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Emmet Sheehan here and Sheehan is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Sheehan’s first career start against the Red Sox. Brayan Bello will start this one for Boston and is 6-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s second career start against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over the Minnesota Twins from their last matchup to sit at 60-43 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Dodgers Alternate Wins & Losses In Four Straight

Shohei Ohtani has 108 hits including 12 doubles, 37 home runs, 70 RBIs and 7 triples while Tommy Edman has 64 hits with 11 home runs and 41 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 51 hits with 13 doubles while Teoscar Hernandez has 79 hits with 14 home runs, 19 doubles and 58 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 13 stolen bases while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 69 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 11 home runs and 45 RBIs as well on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 99 hits with a team-high 27 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 105 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 63 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight Friday night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Muncy has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their 9-8 win over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to sit at 55-49 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Red Sox Looking To Get Back On Track At Home

Alex Bregman has 65 hits including 18 doubles along with 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 97 hits with 15 home runs, 60 RBIs and 17 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 105 hits with 25 doubles, 10 triples, 9 home runs, 52 RBIs and a team-high 16 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs with 55 RBIs and 5 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 48 RBIs and 14 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games at Fenway Park.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday games as favorites.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road win.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games against NL West opponents.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded a hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Dodgers and Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. I don’t love fading the Dodgers, but there’s no denying that the Dodgers have not been playing up to the level that’s expected given the names in their lineup. On the flipside, the Red Sox have had some recent struggles, but this is a team that’s played their best baseball at home this season and Bello has been a decent option for them at times. I think the line here is tight for a reason. Give me the Red Sox in this one.