The Cincinnati Reds and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Chase Burns for the start here and Burns is 0-0 with a 5.40 Era and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ first career start against the Red Sox. Garrett Crochet will get the start for the Red Sox here and Crochet is 7-4 with a 2.06 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. This will be Crochet’s second career start against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to build on a 3-2 win over the San Diego Padres last time out to sit at 44-40 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road again to take on the Philadelphia Phillies.

Reds Win 5 Of Their Last 7 Games

Elly De La Cruz has 90 hits with 18 home runs, 57 RBIs, 15 doubles and 22 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 87 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 31 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 66 hits with 15 doubles and 37 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 9 home runs and 32 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 9 homers, 28 RBIs and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last five games at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last four road games against AL opponents.
Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in four of the Reds’ last five games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his 15 previous appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Elly De La Cruz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-3 loss at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to sit at 41-44 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for a series with the Washington Nationals.

Red Sox Lost 7 Of Their Last 8 Games

Alex Bregman has 59 hits including a team-high 17 doubles along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 73 hits with 11 home runs, 43 RBIs and 13 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 89 hits with 20 doubles, 9 triples, 5 home runs, 38 RBIs and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 14 home runs with 40 RBIs and 4 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 9 homers, 14 doubles, 2 triples, 33 RBIs and 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Red Sox have won each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
The Reds have lost each of their last three road games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last three games following a home loss.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Abraham Toro has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Connor Wong has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against the Reds.
Garrett Crochet ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (135) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Reds’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Red Sox’s last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Reds +1.5 here. I think this could end up being a bit of a pitcher’s duel between one of the best in the American League in Garrett Crochet against Chase Burns who has the accolades to be viewed as one of the best pitching prospects making a name for themselves in Major League Baseball right now. I think the Reds keep it competitive and ultimately I’m not trying to lay a heavy price or chase a run line with the Red Sox here so give me Cincinnati +1.5.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +1.5