Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 8/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 23rd at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 64-67 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 1-3 and 4-3. In game two, Toronto led 3-0 in the fifth inning, but they barely hung on for the win in the later innings. The Blue Jays recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Lukes, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Cease allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Varland picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 518 runs with a .246 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 26 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Soriano, who is 10-6 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 139.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 73-56 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-4 on Saturday. New York cut the deficit to 4-3 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Yankees recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Weathers allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Hanner allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York swept the Orioles in three games, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 571 runs with a .229 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 34 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 4-2 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last nine Sunday day games.
• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against the Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 13 games as underdogs.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as home favorites.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six Sunday day games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Jones has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against the Yankees.
• Jose Soriano has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Nathan Lukes has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York lost game two in this series on Saturday, but they have won four of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in all four of those wins. The Yankees are 32-28 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 31-34 on the road. Toronto has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games and they are just a half game out of a wild card spot. The Blue Jays are starting Soriano, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Rodon has allowed one earned run in his last nine innings. This is a solid pitching matchup, but I am siding with the Yankees here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees ML