Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 5/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 5th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-19 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-1 on Monday night. Toronto cut the deficit to 3-1 in the third inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Guerrero Jr, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Lauer allowed five hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Miles allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto split four games with the Twins and won two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 144 runs with a .252 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with nine home runs and 22 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 22-12 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-1 last night. Tampa Bay scored three runs in the first inning and they added two more in the sixth to secure the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Vilade, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Martinez allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Baker picked up the save. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Guardians.

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 152 runs with a .253 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with seven home runs and 28 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added five home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Rays’ last 14 night games against AL East opponents.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed a total of three runs during that span. The Rays are 12-4 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 6-11 on the road. Toronto has split their last four games and they have scored three or fewer in three of their last five. The Jays are starting Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, while Rasmussen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. I like this pitching matchup a lot, so I am backing the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 7