May 29, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles first baseman Pete Alonso (25) hits a home run during the fifth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images
Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 5/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles
Team Records 29-30 27-32
Spread +1.5 -194 -1.5 159
Moneyline +105 -126
Total Over 8 (-115) Under 8 (-105)
Where Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
When Sunday, May 31, 2026
Time 12:15 PM EDT
TV Peacock

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 31st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 29-30 this season after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 2-1, 6-5, and 5-6. In game three, Toronto led 5-1 in the ninth inning, but they allowed five runs in the bottom of the ninth for the terrible loss. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Okamoto, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Yesavage allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Hoffman allowed five earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Pirates. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 239 runs with a .244 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 12 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added six home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Spencer Miles, who is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 27-32 this year after they won game three by a score of 6-5 on Saturday. Baltimore blew an early 1-0 lead, but they rallied for a huge ninth inning to steal the win. The Orioles recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Henderson, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Young allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Suarez picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore swept the Rays in three games and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.64 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 266 runs with a .238 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 2-6 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 58.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Blue Jays and Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine Sunday day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six day games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against the Orioles.
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 

Toronto had their winning streak snapped with a brutal loss on Saturday afternoon, which is going to be very tough to get over. The Blue Jays are 12-17 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 18-15 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored five runs or more in four of their last five. The O’s are starting Bradish, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Miles has allowed one earned run in his last 15.1 innings. I think Baltimore can build off of that crazy win on Saturday and I like them here.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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