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Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction 07/01/2025 Picks
Pick details
Baltimore (37-47) vs Texas (41-44)
July 1, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -1.5 — Over/Under: +7
In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (37-47, 18-25 Away) are playing the Texas Rangers for the second time in a week. Last time out, the Rangers won the series, but the Orioles bounced back against the Tampa Bay Rays, while they also opened this series against Texas with a 10-6 extra innings victory on Monday. Gunnar Henderson led the offense with four RBI, while Gary Sanchez added three RBI. Trevor Rogers pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on three hits with five strikeouts and three walks. Keegan Akin was credited with the win.
This season, the Orioles average 4.23 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .242/.307/.401 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.92 ERA (27th) and 1.42 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .212 batting average, 12 home runs, and 39 RBI this season.
Brandon Young will take the mound for the Orioles on Tuesday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 0-2 record in three starts this year with a 7.11 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12.2 innings.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers (41-44 Home) beat the Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles before losing to the Seattle Mariners. Interestingly, Texas played four consecutive extra-inning games and lost three of them. The most recent was a 10-6 loss to the Orioles in Game 1 of the current series. Adolis Garcia led the offense with a three-run homer, while Patrick Corbin pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on eight hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Hoby Milner took the loss.
This year, the Rangers average 3.69 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .226/.293/.363 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.28 ERA (1st) and 1.15 WHIP (2nd). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .225 batting average, ten home runs, and 45 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Jacob deGrom, who is 8-2 in 16 starts this season, with a 2.08 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 95.1 innings.
Why the Rangers will cover
The Rangers have won each of their last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Orioles have lost four of their last five night games after going to extra innings.
The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Tuesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Eleven of the Rangers’ last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Orioles’ last five road games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Rangers’ last 12 night games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
The Rangers rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (776).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (239).
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction
The Orioles won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season, each team recorded two wins. I am backing the Rangers to win and cover the run line in this one, mainly because of the fantastic Jacob deGrom, who has been on a tear this season. In June, deGrom posted a 1.41 ERA, and his previous start was against the Orioles, when he shut them out in a 7-0 victory. deGrom registered five consecutive quality starts and allowed five runs in the process. Brandon Young took the loss in the very same game, as he allowed four runs in 4.0 innings. I expect the Rangers to hand a rookie a tough time again and score multiple runs off of him. Take the Rangers to win and cover.