Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 06/17/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (30-41, 14-22 Away) responded to series losses against the Athletics and Tigers with a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels at home. Baltimore couldn’t record its fourth consecutive win after falling to a 7-1 defeat in Game 1 of the series against the Rays. Adley Rutschman hit a solo homer for the O’s, while Zach Eflin took the loss after allowing seven runs on 12 hits with two strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.

This season, the Orioles average 3.94 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .240/.305/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.92 ERA (26th) and 1.41 WHIP (26th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .233 batting average, 11 home runs, and 34 RBI this season.

Dean Kremer will take the mound for the Orioles on Tuesday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 5-7 record in 13 starts this year with a 4.99 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 79.1 innings.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-32, 24-20 Home) are currently on a four-game winning streak. They swept the New York Mets, an accomplishment no other team managed to do this season, and then opened this series against the Orioles with a comfortable 7-1 victory. Jake Mangum led the offense with three RBI, while Ryan Pepiot got the win after allowing one run on four hits with 11 strikeouts and two walks across 8.0 innings of work.

This year, the Rays average 4.61 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .251/.317/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.42 ERA (5th) and 1.17 WHIP (3rd). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .250 batting average, 17 home runs, and 45 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Zack Littell, who is 6-6 in 14 starts this season, with a 3.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 86.2 innings.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday night games.
The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games.
The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.
The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Orioles’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Rays’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Orioles’ last five night games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Rays rank T4th in the league for runs allowed this season (264).
The Rays rank T26th in the league for triples this season (4).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.92).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.267).

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

The Orioles won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Rays were better in the last three. It’s going to be a tighter duel than it was in Game 1, but I am going with the Rays because they are in better form. Dean Kremer allowed nine runs in his previous two starts, even though he posted an excellent 2.72 ERA in May. I don’t trust him, and I think the Rays will score 3+ runs off him in the first five innings. Zack Littell surrendered nine runs in his last four starts, which is not bad, and I am backing him to keep the Orioles below three runs in the opening five innings. Tampa won seven of its last eight home games, and I am going with the Rays to add another one on Tuesday.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Rays ML