Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 08/06/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 51-63 on the year and play the Athletics, Mariners, and Astros next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .242 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .407 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 114 hits and 47 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg have combined for 174 hits and 71 RBI. 

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 4-2 with a 1.44 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Rogers is 1-6 with a 6.71 ERA and 54 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-48 on the year and play the Rangers, Reds, and Nationals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .255 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .417 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 129 hits and 45 RBI while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 222 hits and 154 RBI.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-4 with a 2.68 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Orioles and Phillies.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won four of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 21 day games at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight home games.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Rogers has been fantastic through 56.1 innings, allowing 29 hits and 9 runs while striking out 48. The problem is Rogers is pitching for a bad Orioles team that’s lost five of their last six games and has been shutout twice in those losses. The Phillies are making a push for that NL East crown, and Suarez has been solid in his own right with a 2.68 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Quick turnaround and at home, there’s no reason to bet against the Phillies in this spot. I’m rolling with the Phillies.