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Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/27/24
Pick details
Minnesota Twins (82-76) vs Baltimore Orioles (88-70)
September 27, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -172 / Baltimore Orioles +146 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Target Field. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 88-71 on the year after playing the Tigers and Yankees. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 177 hits and 91 RBI, while Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander have combined for 277 hits and 178 RBI.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 82-77 on the year after playing the Red Sox and Marlins. The Minnesota Twins have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 3 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 137 hits and 60 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 234 hits and 117 RBI.
Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup
Cade Povich gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 2-9 with a 5.59 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Povich has allowed 14 hits and 8 runs in his last 22 innings. Povich has a 9.75 ERA and a .283 allowed batting average in 24 road innings. This will be Povich’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Pablo Lopez gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 15-9 with a 4.11 ERA and 190 strikeouts this season. Lopez has allowed 32 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 24 innings. Lopez has a 3.64 ERA and a .266 allowed batting average in 81.2 home innings. Lopez is 2-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have won each of their last four games at Target Field.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Target Field.
- Kyle Farmer has hit a home run in two of the Twins’ last three home games against AL opponents.
- Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at Target Field.
- Carlos Correa has scored a run in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents at Target Field.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Mountcastle has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Twins.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1471).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (424).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank T4th in the league for triples this season (33).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 5th in the league for runs scored this season (764).
Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Minnesota Twins need this game to keep their slim wild-card hopes alive, and they have an All-Star caliber pitcher on the bump in Pablo Lopez. They should be favored. Cade Povich hasn’t been great this season, and he’s been an even bigger mess on the road. With all that said, we’re still getting the better team in the Orioles at big plus money. I’m going to take a shot in the dark with the Orioles.
