Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction 07/13/2025 Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Eury Perez for the start here and Perez is 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s first career start against the Orioles. Brandon Young will get the start for the Orioles and is 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Young’s first career start against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 6-0 win over the Orioles from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 43-51 on the year. After the all-star break, the Marlins will have an interleague series at home with the Kansas City Royals.

Marlins Snap Three-Game Losing Streak

Xavier Edwards has 89 hits including 12 doubles and a team-high 16 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 78 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 72 hits with 9 doubles and 10 home runs with 46 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 83 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 48 RBIs but also has 96 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 14 home runs, 19 doubles and 40 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 30 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a win.
The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as road underdogs.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Marlins following a loss.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Marlins on Saturday to slip to 43-51 this season. After the all-star break, the Orioles will head on the road for a division series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Orioles Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Cedric Mullins has 58 hits so far this season as well as 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 41 RBIs with 13 stolen bases and a .216 batting average while Adley Rutschman has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 8 homers and 20 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 88 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 12 homers and 38 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers and 15 RBIs and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 89 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn’s also chipped in 77 hits with 14 doubles and 11 home runs with 34 RBIs and Heston Kjerstad’s added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won six of their last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites.
Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Ryan O’Hearn ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.385) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Orioles’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I get the case to be made for the Orioles at home, but Brandon Young isn’t the top-tier option that I’d want in a series finale if I’m backing Baltimore as I just don’t think that he’s major league ready. Eury Perez has started to pitch better in some of his recent outings, and I think Miami can pick up another W behind a strong start from Perez to win the series. Give me Miami.