Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 9/14/24

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Detroit Tigers (76-72) vs Baltimore Orioles (83-65)

September 14, 2024 at 06:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +147 / Baltimore Orioles -175 — Over/Under: 8

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In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 14th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Orioles recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Tigers recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Baltimore and Detroit
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Baltimore and Detroit

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 83-65 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Baltimore lost the first game in this series and they were nearly no hit in the loss. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won two out of three against the White Sox. Baltimore is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 721 runs with a .248 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .281 with 36 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 76-72 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Detroit won game one in this series by a score of 1-0 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Rockies, won two out of three against the Athletics, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Detroit is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 629 runs with a .235 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .265 with 21 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 13-8 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 175.1 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Ty Madden, who is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this season. Madden has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Tigers 

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last seven night games against the Orioles following a home win.
  • The Orioles have won 15 of their last 16 Saturday night road games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Orioles following a home win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Orioles’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Tigers’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three night games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three night games against AL Central opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Detroit was able to get the win in game one of this series with an outstanding pitching performance, and they continue to make a push in the AL Wild Card race. The Tigers are 38-35 at home, while the Orioles are 41-32 on the road this year. Baltimore has lost five of their last six games and they are fading in the AL East. The O’s are going with Corbin Burnes, who has been outstanding in his last few starts. Detroit hasn’t announced a starting pitcher yet, but it could be Ty Madden. The Tigers have had great pitching this season, regardless if they go with a starting pitcher or a bullpen game, but this Orioles lineup is not easy to navigate. I think Burnes will continue his dominance here and I like Baltimore -1.5 in this game. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles -1.5

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