Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 17th at the Nationals Park in 4th game of the series, with the Braves having the 3-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 62-90 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL East. The Nationals have a 31-46 home record and are 76-66 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-5 home defeat by the Braves, and are 2-6 in their last 8 games. They are playing the Mets and the Braves next.

The Nationals have a .243 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. James Wood leads the Nationals with 143 hits, while CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average. James Wood adds a team-high 88 RBI and leads the team in home runs, with 27.

Brad Lord (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 5-8 record, 4.21 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 69-83 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 33-44 road record and 68-73 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-0 road victory over the Nationals, and have four straight wins. They are playing the Nationals and the Tigers next.

The Braves have a .244 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 162 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average. He leads the team both in RBI, with 91, and in home runs with 27.

Hurston Waldrep (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 4-1 record, 2.78 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: September 17, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brad Lord       Record this season: 5-8      ERA: 4.21
• Home Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-1

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have won eight of their last nine Wednesday games as underdogs against the Braves.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Braves at Nationals Park.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Nationals Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hurston Waldrep      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 2.78
• Road Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Nationals: 0-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Nationals after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following an extra innings loss.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last five games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Nationals’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Nationals.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 road games against the Nationals.
• Matt Olson ranks 10th in the league in Hits (162) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.31).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.267).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (528).
• The Braves rank 27th in the league for steals this season (75).

Braves vs Nationals Prediction

The Braves have won their last 3 meetings against the Nationals, and both teams are tied 3-3 wins in their last 6 meetings in Washington. Under is 8-3-2 in their last 12 meetings.

In this Braves vs Nationals Prediction, the Braves are coming as -150 road favorites. The Braves are dominating the Nats in this series, having won all three games with a combined 22-6 score, and now have the pitching advantage once again. Waldrep has been amazing on the road, with a 1.19 ERA, while Lord has been terrible at home for the Nats, with a 5.16 ERA. Lord has also been in poor form lately, with a 7.77 ERA across his last 5 starts, and the Nationals have the worst bullpen ERA in baseball, while the Braves have a better offense. Take the Atlanta Braves on the moneyline on the road in this one.