Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 07/11/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (40-52, 16-30 Away) are winless in six consecutive series; they split one and lost five series, they were swept by the Baltimore Orioles, and lost to the Athletics in the latest two. The Braves had a chance to beat the A’s but fell short in a rubber match in extra innings, 5-4. Jurickson Profar led the offense with two RBI, while Spencer Strider pitched for 6.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with 11 strikeouts and three walks. Aaron Bummer took the loss.

This season, the Braves average 4.03 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .241/.314/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.82 ERA (13th) and 1.23 WHIP (9th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .267 batting average, 17 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.

Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves on Friday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 4-8 record in 18 starts this year with a 3.44 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 102.0 innings.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-44, 28-18 Home) were swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates and lost to the Chicago Cubs, but responded with a win over the Washington Nationals. The Cardinals were better in a rubber match on Thursday, 8-1. Alec Burleson led the offense with two RBI, while Miles Mikolas got the win after allowing no runs on two hits with six strikeouts and one walk across 5.2 innings of work.

This year, the Cardinals average 4.55 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .252/.321/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cardinals’ staff has a 4.07 ERA (19th) and 1.26 WHIP (18th). Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with a .254 batting average, 12 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals is Matthew Liberatore, who is 6-6 in 17 starts this season, with a 3.70 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 97.1 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Braves’ last four games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Three of the Cardinals’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cardinals’ last six games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (259).
The Cardinals rank T4th in the league for doubles this season (162).
The Braves rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (129).
The Braves rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (712).

Braves vs Cardinals Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Braves won two of three meetings. It’s going to be a close duel that could go either way, so I will stay away from backung the winner. I am going with Under because of Grant Holmes and Matthew Liberatore’s recent form. Holmes allowed only four runs in his last four starts, and he is coming from a strong month, as he posted a 3.51 ERA in June. Liberatore registered three quality starts out of his previous four and hasn’t surrendered more than two runs in a game in that span. I don’t think we will have more than eight runs in this game.