Jun 19, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves third baseman Austin Riley (27) and first baseman Matt Olson (28) celebrate after a victory over the New York Mets at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 06/26/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (37-42) vs New York (47-34)

June 26, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 26, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (37-42, 15-27 Away) swept the New York Mets but lost the very next series against the Miami Marlins. Atlanta will have a chance to win the current series against the Mets following a couple of victories to open it; however, the Mets responded with a 7-3 win on Wednesday. Ronald Acuna Jr. led the offense with two RBI, while Didier Fuentes took the loss after allowing six runs on eight hits with one strikeout and no walks.

This year, the Braves average 4.20 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .244/.320/.383 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.70 ERA (10th) and 1.22 WHIP (10th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .257 batting average, 15 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Grant Holmes, who is 4-6 in 15 starts this season, with a 3.71 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 85.0 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (47-34, 28-12 Home) are experiencing their worst period of the season and have lost four consecutive series, including the ones to the Braves and Phillies, but managed to avoid the fourth straight loss with a 7-3 victory in Game 3 against Atlanta last night. The Mets now hope for another W and split. Juan Soto led the offense with a couple of RBI on Wednesday, while Clay Holmes got the win after allowing one run on three hits with two strikeouts and four walks across 5.0 innings of work.

This season, the Mets average 3.44 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .245/.325/.420 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.25 ERA (1st) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .286 batting average, 18 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.

Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets on Thursday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 7-3 record in 15 starts this year with a 3.91 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 73.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Braves’ last four games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (302).
The Mets rank 5th in the league for walks this season (285).
The Braves rank 26th in the league for steals this season (42).
The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (601).

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The Braves won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven, while this season, Atlanta won five out of six meetings. Three of those six duels went Over, and I am backing another Over here because of the pitching matchup. Although the Mets have the best staff in the MLB, Griffin Canning is not playing well of late; he allowed multiple runs in six of his previous seven starts, surrendering 3+ in five of those six. Grant Holmes is in a better form at the moment, but he has allowed multiple runs in four of his last five starts. I am backing both offenses to be prolific in the opening five or six innings and combine for at least five or six runs. Back the Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 8.5

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