In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (35-41, 13-26 Away) won three consecutive series after beating the Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies, and sweeping the New York Mets before losing to the Miami Marlins on the road. Atlanta lost Game 1 and won Game 2, 7-0, while in the rubber match on Sunday, the Braves fell to a 5-3 defeat. Bryce Elder took the loss after allowing five runs on ten hits with four strikeouts and one walk in 5.1 innings.

This season, the Braves average 4.20 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .245/.308/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.67 ERA (10th) and 1.22 WHIP (11th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .250 batting average, 15 home runs, and 49 RBI this season.

Spencer Schwellenbach will take the mound for the Braves on Monday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 5-4 record in 15 starts this year with a 3.26 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 96.2 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (46-32, 27-10 Home) have now lost three straight series and are playing their worst baseball of the season. New York lost eight of the previous nine games and was swept by the Tampa Bay Rays, Atlanta Braves and lost a series to the Philadelphia Phillies. In the rubber match in Philadelphia, the Mets succumbed to a 7-1 defeat. Francisco Lindor hit a solo homer, the lone run for the Mets, while David Peterson took the loss after allowing five runs on six hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 4.0 innings.

This year, the Mets average 4.45 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .245/.326/.421 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.20 ERA (1st) and 1.27 WHIP (16th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .290 batting average, 18 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Paul Blackburn, who is 0-1 in two starts this season, with a 6.92 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 13.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Braves’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last three home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine games at Citi Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine night games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank T4th in the league for walks this season (279).
The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (282).
The Braves rank T5th in the league for strikeouts this season (690).
The Braves rank 5th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The Braves won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including all three meetings this season. Although I rate Schwellenbach higher than Blackburn, and I am leaning toward the Braves in this one, I’ll opt for the Over instead. Schwellenbach allowed four runs in his latest start against the Mets, while he surrendered multiple runs in six of the previous seven starts. Paul Blackburn, on the other hand, allowed four runs (three earned) against the Braves in his last start, while he surrendered 3+ runs in his previous three games. Back the Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 8.5