Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 8/10/24

Pick details

Colorado Rockies (42-73) vs Atlanta Braves (60-54)

August 10, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +166 / Atlanta Braves -200 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Colorado Rockies meet Saturday in MLB action from Coors Field. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Rockies pick. We will examine:

The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

The Colorado Rockies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Rockies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Rockies game

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

In their last set the Braves played the Milwaukee Brewers and had some major trouble. Atlanta was swept in that one with losses 10-0, 8-5 and 16-7. On Friday versus the Rockies, the Braves took a tough 6-5 loss. Starting pitcher Grant Holmes went 5.0 innings with five earned runs.

In the starter slot for Saturday will be Max Fried. This year Fried is 7-6 with a 3.40 ERA in 19 starts. Over his career Fried is 69-32 with a 3.08 ERA in 158 games (141 starts).

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

Over on the Rockies’ side, they played the New York Mets this week. Colorado won 6-3 Tuesday but otherwise dropped the remaining pair 5-3 and 9-1. In the Friday opener versus the Braves, Colorado nearly blew a 5-1 lead but held on for the win. Tanner Gordon put up 5.0 innings with two earned runs in the start.

The Rockies will go with Dakota Hudson for the Saturday start. He’s 2-12 with a 5.84 ERA this year. Colorado was originally going to send out Cal Quantrill here, but he’s been pushed back to the Arizona series.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rockies’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Elias Diaz has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances at Coors Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one total base in each of his nine previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has scored a run in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Rockies.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his eight previous road appearances against the Rockies.
  • Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games as favorites against the Rockies.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Rockies.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Rockies.
  • Sean Murphy has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents at Coors Field.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Rockies.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.585) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1174).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (452).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 28th in the league for steals this season (49).

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

I might try the Rockies here. Probably staying away, though. Both starting pitchers could use a good showing. In his last pair Quantrill is 0-1 with 10 earned runs in 8.0 innings total. As for Fried, he’s got 10 earned in 8.1 innings over two of his last three starts (one earned in 6.0 innings during the other). Fried is 0-3 in that trio.

On Friday the Rockies were out-hit 12-10 and coughed up three runs in the seventh inning but still toughed out the win. Four different players had multiple hits and Brenton Doyle added two RBI, two runs and a homer. Another win Saturday may be a tall proposition but I think it’s possible.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Colorado Rockies +166

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