Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8/1/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at the Progressive Field in the second game of this series, with the Braves having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians have a 63-58 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Guardians have a 31-29 home record and are 57-61 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-2 home defeat by the Braves, and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. They are playing the Diamondbacks and the Rangers next.

The Guardians have a .227 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 132 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. He also leads the team both in RBI, with 64, and in home runs with 25.

Slade Cecconi (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 5-5 record, 4.11 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 54-68 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 24-38 road record and 54-59 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-0 road victory over the Mets, and are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games and are playing the White Sox and the Mets next.

The Braves have a .242 batting average this eason, .319 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 123 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 71, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.

Joey Wentz (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-3 record, 5.03 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last five night games following a home loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road night games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last eight Saturday night games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday home games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Braves and Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Braves’ last 12 road games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (903).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (442).
• The Braves rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (180).

Braves vs Guardians Prediction

The Braves are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Guardians, and are 5-1 in their last 6 visits in Cleveland. Under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Braves vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -120 home favorites. The Braves are rolling right now and they put Wentz on the mound who has been better at home with a 3.66 ERA, while the Guardians answer with Cecconi, who has been weaker at home, with a 4.79 ERA. Wentz is also in better form lately, and his last road start was a shutout, while Cecconi is struggling lately, with a 5.34 ERA across his last 5 starts. The Braves have a better offense, and the Guardians are weaker against lefties, so I like the value with the road dog in this matchup. Take the Braves and the plus money in this one.